Reuters AltertNet, August 30, 2006
Super typhoon Ioke is forecast to strike Wake Island at about 10:00 GMT on 31 August. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 19.2 N, 167.0 E. Ioke is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 259 km/h (161 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Ioke's strength (category 5) at landfall includes:
- Storm surge generally greater than 5.5 metres (18 feet) above normal.
- Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings.
- Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away.
- All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down.
- Complete destruction of mobile homes.
- Severe and extensive window and door damage.
- Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the centre of the storm.
- Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 4.6 metres (15 feet) above sea level and within 460 metres (500 yards) of the shoreline.
- Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 8-16 km miles (5-10 miles) of the shoreline may be required.
There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.
It's at Wake Island now, but it's forecast to head to Japan. Here are some useful tracking links:
Nikkei Asia-wide Typhoon Page (Japanese)
Japan-area Typhoon Page (Japanese)
Weather News Japan funky Typhoon tracking Flash animation
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (English)
This is the strongest typhoon in at least 12 years. All I can say is that it if hits Japan I hope it aims for Tokyo! (fg lurker ducks)