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  • fuckedgaijin ‹ General ‹ F*cked News

Regarding the earthquake prediction - what you need is..

Odd news from Japan and all things Japanese around the world.
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Regarding the earthquake prediction - what you need is..

Postby Steve Bildermann » Tue Sep 16, 2003 4:04 am

CARL SAGAN'S BALONEY DETECTION KIT

http://www1.tpgi.com.au/users/tps-seti/baloney.html


    Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the facts
    Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
    Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no "authorities").
    Spin more than one hypothesis - don't simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy.
    Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours.
    Quantify, wherever possible.
    If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must work.
    "Occam's razor" - if there are two hypothesis that explain the data equally well choose the simpler.
    Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be falsified (shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other words, it is testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and get the same result?

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Re: Regarding the earthquake prediction - what you need is..

Postby Taro Toporific » Thu Sep 18, 2003 1:21 pm

Steve Bildermann wrote:CARL SAGAN'S BALONEY DETECTION KIT

http://www1.tpgi.com.au/users/tps-seti/baloney.html

http://www.skeptics.com.au/journal/sagan.gif



Alternatively, just change the metric. :lol:
I can never get used the Japanese system of subjectively measuring earthquakes rather than just measuring the damn things with a seismograph.


Japan to revise method for calculating quake magnitude
Xinhua, China - Aug 17 (Xinhuanet)
The Japan Meteorological Agency said Wednesday it will revise
its method for calculating the magnitude of earthquakes starting September 25 ...
_________
FUCK THE 2020 OLYMPICS!
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