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The Big One - Sept. 13th?

Odd news from Japan and all things Japanese around the world.
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The Big One - Sept. 13th?

Postby Taro Toporific » Fri Sep 05, 2008 8:48 pm

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Postby Charles » Fri Sep 05, 2008 9:08 pm

Oh don't be ridiculous, of course this isn't going to happen. Everyone knows doomsday is Sept 10 when the Large Hadron Collider goes online and the earth gets sucked into a black hole. The world (if not the whole universe) will already be destroyed on Sept 13.
:rolleyes:

I can't tell who this guy is, but let me know, as I love to bust quake prediction crackpots.
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Postby Phantom » Fri Sep 05, 2008 10:13 pm

Well, if the elimination of von Neumann-Dirac collapse dynamics in Everett's relative-state formulation of quantum mechanics is in any way accurate, there will be some world-lines where we, as embedded observers, will experience "the big one" on exactly that date. Of course, this means versions of us will experience it every day up till then and after, along with a finite probability that I will bump into Scarlett Johansson and Aishwarya Rai together in Tokyo, leading to a frenzied, all-weekend FFM "big one" of such epic proportions that our galactic region of space-time will collapse into an massive orgasmic singularity and, if there is a God, he will throw up his arms in despair and say "Screw it, I can't top that, game over, I'm going back to Guitar Hero".
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Postby amdg » Fri Sep 05, 2008 10:17 pm

Charles wrote:Sept 10 when the Large Hadron Collider goes online and the earth gets sucked into a black hole.


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Postby GuyJean » Fri Sep 05, 2008 10:22 pm

Edgar has hidden talents..

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Postby Midwinter » Sat Sep 06, 2008 12:15 am

Figures the LHC experiment would happen on a Thursday (local time). Just once I'd like a prediction for the end of the world to occur on a Monday morning so that I can stay in bed for a few more hours.
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Postby Iraira » Sat Sep 06, 2008 12:40 am

Damn, I had plans to go to Nagano over the 3-day weekend, but I guess that's all shot to hell. Since the world's gonna end, I guess I can go back to smoking Camel bullets, drinking Everclear, and having unprotected anal sex with crack whores and UCLA liver receiving Yak bosses.
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Postby GuyJean » Sat Sep 06, 2008 12:45 am

Iraira wrote:Damn, I had plans to go to Nagano over the 3-day weekend, but I guess that's all shot to hell. Since the world's gonna end, I guess I can go back to smoking Camel bullets, drinking Everclear, and having unprotected anal sex with crack whores and UCLA liver receiving Yak bosses.
Yeah, baby!..

You can do all that AND go to Nagano! The Naga crack whores are organic.. And everyone knows that September 13th means NY time.. That's Saturday mid-day here. At least 6 hours of Everclear, crack whorin'!!!

Burn out! Don't fade away.. :D

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Postby Gilligan » Sat Sep 06, 2008 8:38 am

Charles wrote:I can't tell who this guy is, but let me know, as I love to bust quake prediction crackpots.


Charles, I'm not positive, but I think this guy's name is Juseleeno Nobulega DaRoose. If you google him, you'll find that his "predictions" show up in threads on a number of different bulletin boards. One of the funnier things is that on different boards the predictions are all slightly different--slightly different dates, or different places, or different magnitudes.

My son was talking about the September prediction about a month ago--he was worried because we live in Nagoya and that's where the prediction was about. Anyway I did a google search and found a site that said he was predicting a huge earthquake in China on September 13th. He said the quake would kill something like 100,000 people. He went on to say that if the earthquake didn't happen in China it would happen in Tokai and would kill 600 people. Alas I couldn't find that site this morning.
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Postby Charles » Sat Sep 06, 2008 10:09 am

Gilligan wrote:Charles, I'm not positive, but I think this guy's name is Juseleeno Nobulega DaRoose. If you google him, you'll find that his "predictions" show up in threads on a number of different bulletin boards. One of the funnier things is that on different boards the predictions are all slightly different--slightly different dates, or different places, or different magnitudes.

My son was talking about the September prediction about a month ago--he was worried because we live in Nagoya and that's where the prediction was about. Anyway I did a google search and found a site that said he was predicting a huge earthquake in China on September 13th. He said the quake would kill something like 100,000 people. He went on to say that if the earthquake didn't happen in China it would happen in Tokai and would kill 600 people. Alas I couldn't find that site this morning.

Dammit, I wish he lived in California, which has strict laws about "Practicing Geology or Geophysics without a License" with penalties up to 3 months in prison and a $2500 fine. If, as a resident of California, you make a public quake prediction without a Geologist's License, you have violated the law. And no licensed Geologist would ever make such a reckless prediction, it would make you liable for any damages caused by the inevitable panic and disruption from the false prediction.

I really REALLY like to take on quake crackpots, in 2004 I filed a complaint with the Ca. Board of Geology and Geophysics on one nutball at UCLA, who made a ridiculous and rash prediction of a quake in California that never happened, he caused a considerable amount of panic. He did not get fined but he decided to suddenly switch to a different specialty that doesn't involve making quake predictions. And the world is now a better place. The Ca. Board of G&G has done this multiple times, for example, they stomped on geoforecaster.com for making quake predictions in 2003 and put them out of business. And the world was a better place.
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Postby dimwit » Sat Sep 06, 2008 5:51 pm

Charles wrote:Dammit, I wish he lived in California, which has strict laws about "Practicing Geology or Geophysics without a License" with penalties up to 3 months in prison and a $2500 fine. If, as a resident of California, you make a public quake prediction without a Geologist's License, you have violated the law. And no licensed Geologist would ever make such a reckless prediction, it would make you liable for any damages caused by the inevitable panic and disruption from the false prediction.

I really REALLY like to take on quake crackpots, in 2004 I filed a complaint with the Ca. Board of Geology and Geophysics on one nutball at UCLA, who made a ridiculous and rash prediction of a quake in California that never happened, he caused a considerable amount of panic. He did not get fined but he decided to suddenly switch to a different specialty that doesn't involve making quake predictions. And the world is now a better place. The Ca. Board of G&G has done this multiple times, for example, they stomped on geoforecaster.com for making quake predictions in 2003 and put them out of business. And the world was a better place.


To say that he is practicing Geology is a stretch. I'd call it fortune telling and considering he hasn't won any state lotteries or daily doubles recently, rather pointless forture telling at that.
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Postby Charles » Sun Sep 07, 2008 2:49 am

dimwit wrote:To say that he is practicing Geology is a stretch. I'd call it fortune telling and considering he hasn't won any state lotteries or daily doubles recently, rather pointless forture telling at that.

Right, the Juseleeno guy is a real nutcase psychic, but if you make a geological prediction in CA, you're officially doing geology. I'm not prepared to let them off the hook for using psychism instead of pseudoscience. The panic and disruption may be slightly less (assuming fewer people believe in psychics than a pseudoscientific explanation, which I'm not sure is true) but there will still be disruption.

I'll explain the problem of pseudoscience in case anyone cares.
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If you're trying to predict something like say for example, the Dow Jones index, it's a long series of data points that is basically a curve. Much effort has been expended in trying to figure out a formula that matches the existing data curve, on the presumption that you just continue plotting the function and it will predict the future curve. As I understand it (and we're at the limits of my mathematical ability here) any curve can be expressed as a Fourier Transform with 4 variables. So for any curve, you can match it with f(a,b,c,d). Unfortunately, the match to previous history of the curve is largely dependent on the first 3 variables, the 4th variable can generate an infinite variety of curves that match the existing data set perfectly, but create totally different future curves. The problem is identifying which variable d is the correct one. You have only one chance out of infinity. That is not to say it is impossible, it is only impossible to tell because we can't know the future until it becomes the past. You could make trial-and-error guesses forever without ever hitting the right formula. So it's all just guesswork dressed up in fancy math.

So when someone says they have figured out the mathematical basis of the curve predicting the likelihood of a quake, I always say, wait until the next quake proves you wrong. It always does.
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Postby r655321 » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:26 pm

Phantom! By far and large that was hilarious! Thanks for the laugh! Keep it up!:D

ROTFLMFAO!
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Postby pheyton » Mon Sep 08, 2008 12:53 pm

Until this (??) has something to say about it, I ain't believing it.

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Postby Taro Toporific » Thu Sep 11, 2008 6:00 am

Charles wrote:Oh don't be ridiculous, of course this isn't going to happen. Everyone knows doomsday is Sept 10 when the Large Hadron Collider goes online and the earth gets sucked into a black hole. The world (if not the whole universe) will already be destroyed on Sept 13.
.

[SIZE="5"]Are we still here?[/SIZE]

Latest Earthquakes in the World - Past 7 days


Large Hadron Collider "Actually Worked"
National Geographic News
September 10, 2008

The world's largest atom smasher's first experiment went off today without a hitch, paving the way toward the recreation of post-big bang conditions.
The Large Hadron Collider fired a beam of protons inside a circular, 17-mile (27-kilometer) long tunnel underneath villages and cow pastures at the French-Swiss border...more...
_________
FUCK THE 2020 OLYMPICS!
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Mmmm

Postby kurohinge1 » Thu Sep 11, 2008 7:47 am

Taro Toporific wrote:
. . . Large Hadron Collider "Actually Worked"
National Geographic News
September 10, 2008

The world's largest atom smasher's first experiment went off today without a hitch, paving the way toward the recreation of post-big bang conditions. . .


Has anyone actually checked to see if Switzerland is still there?

It would be a shame if there was now only an event horizon at the Swiss border.

]http://www.fuckedgaijin.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=3110&stc=1&d=1221086968[/IMG]
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Postby Charles » Thu Sep 11, 2008 10:33 am

Taro Toporific wrote:[SIZE="5"]Are we still here?[/SIZE]

Latest Earthquakes in the World - Past 7 days


Large Hadron Collider "Actually Worked"
National Geographic News
September 10, 2008

The world's largest atom smasher's first experiment went off today without a hitch, paving the way toward the recreation of post-big bang conditions.
The Large Hadron Collider fired a beam of protons inside a circular, 17-mile (27-kilometer) long tunnel underneath villages and cow pastures at the French-Swiss border...more...

I note that there is a subtle difference between "without a hitch" and "successful." I saw a twitter msg from CERN that the first collision was at 1/8th confinement, I don't know if that was the target (I suspect they were aiming for 100%). But alas I can't find that msg now to get the details. Perhaps further information will arrive last week, once it escapes the multiverse it's encapsulated in.
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Postby canman » Thu Sep 11, 2008 12:19 pm

Well we were rocking and shaking this morning. It wasn't the so called `big on` but it was fairly long and strong. This will help the fortune teller as people will now say he is really authentic.
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Postby IkemenTommy » Thu Sep 11, 2008 2:29 pm

Two days until doomsday.. start looting the local conbinis, boys.
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Mmmm

Postby kurohinge1 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 2:02 pm

  • "This is the verdict: . . . " (John 3:19-21)
  • "It could be that the purpose of your life is only to serve as a warning to others" (Anon)
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Postby Gilligan » Fri Sep 12, 2008 10:44 pm

So my daughter has informed me that the predicted earthquake time is between 3am and 5am. I assume that that's Japan time, but who knows.
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Postby Iraira » Sat Sep 13, 2008 1:01 am

Near as I can tell, we've got about 2-4 hours....anyone want to place a bet? Gotta include maginitude and epicenter...aw fuck it, I'm off to case the konbini.
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Postby Tsuru » Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:28 am

...and?
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Postby Iraira » Sat Sep 13, 2008 3:27 am

wait...wait...it's...no, sorry......just last nights beans.........:(
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;)
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Postby IkemenTommy » Sat Sep 13, 2008 4:32 am

Originally Posted by SMH

A teenage girl in India has reportedly killed herself out of fear the world was about to end because of the atom-smashing "Big Bang" experiment" conducted in Europe.

The 16-year old girl, from the state of Madhya Pradesh, died after drinking pesticide, The Daily Mail said.

Her father, identified on local television as Biharilal, said his daughter, Chayya, had killed herself after watching doomsday predictions about the Large Hadron Collider on Indian news programmes.

"In the past two days, Chayya had asked me and other relatives about the world coming to an end on September 10," Biharilal said.

"We tried to divert her attention and told her she should not worry about such things, but to no avail."

As part of their experiments, scientists have now successfully fired protons in both directions around a 27-kilometre underground ring on the Swiss-French border.

They hope to smash the components of atoms together in attempts to learn about their structure.

But fears have been raised the experiment could create a black hole that would suck the Earth away, although the scientists involved insist the experiment is safe.

Fears about the experiment had spread rapidly through the media in deeply religious India, The Daily Mail said.

Thousands of people had rushed to temples to pray and fast while others savoured their favourite foods in anticipation of the world's end, the paper said.

This is such bullshit. She just died of drinking pesticide. Just as is.

Seriously, who would kill themselves even if knowing that the world will end? Even if I had reasons to believe that the world will end tomorrow, I wouldn't try to speed death by killing myself. I would test fate on that one.

In fact, I bet no one died. Some little remote village in India will never know anything about what's going on in the outside world. This whole "news" article is bullshit.
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Postby Taro Toporific » Sat Sep 13, 2008 9:24 am

Gilligan wrote:So my daughter has informed me that the predicted earthquake time is between 3am and 5am.


USGS - Latest Earthquakes - World »]http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Maps/region/Asia.php[/url]

ShanghaiDaily.com/ - | 2008-9-8 | ONLINE EDITION
.....
on a Website run by a Brazilian English teacher, Jucelino da Luz, who wrote about his prediction No. 81, saying: "An earthquake will hit China and may cause a milllion deaths (if it doesn't happen in China, it might happen in Tokai in Japan and cause many deaths)."
The rumor spread through the Internet and finally became: "A 9.1 scale earthquake will occur between Nanning and Hainan Island on September 13, triggering a tsunami which will lead to the deaths of millions." .....
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Postby Catoneinutica » Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:46 pm

I came to this thread to say one thing:

JUCELINO!
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Postby IkemenTommy » Sat Sep 13, 2008 8:38 pm

Taro Toporific wrote:Large Hadron Collider "Actually Worked"
National Geographic News
September 10, 2008

The world's largest atom smasher's first experiment went off today without a hitch, paving the way toward the recreation of post-big bang conditions.
The Large Hadron Collider fired a beam of protons inside a circular, 17-mile (27-kilometer) long tunnel underneath villages and cow pastures at the French-Swiss border...more...

Live web cam is up.
:eek2:
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Postby Gilligan » Sun Sep 14, 2008 10:24 pm

IkemenTommy wrote:Live web cam is up.
:eek2:


Don't forget the rap

[YT]j50ZssEojtM[/YT]
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Postby pheyton » Mon Sep 15, 2008 2:42 am

Gilligan wrote:Don't forget the rap

[YT]j50ZssEojtM[/YT]


I give us a week before the alien rulers of the galaxy detect our black hole gun and destroy us first. Or was it they detect nerdy scientists rapping, acknowledge their threat to music and destroy them?
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